Fantasy Update: Last-minute lineup, props advice for Texas
Hendrick Motorsports’ Jimmie Johnson will start from the pole position for Sunday’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 (3 p.m. ET on FOX, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
Does the seven-time winner merit a spot on your lineup? We’ve dissected the amounts to offer you a proposed lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live thought as you make roster decisions.
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Bear in mind that the garage locks in the end of Stage 2. Once the last stage starts, your roster is secured in.
RJ Kraft’s Fantasy Live lineup for race day in Texas:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Joey Logano
3. Ryan Blaney
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Chase Elliott
Toilet: Kurt Busch
Going to the back: Alex Bowman (backup car), Ryan Newman (neglected pre-race inspection double )
RELATED: Odds for Texas | 10-lap averages from Texas | Podcast: Fantasy Fastlane
Analysis: The wealth of names starting out of the top 10 on Sunday makes this a little more complex than previous weeks. Do you risk the use? Who is worth saving? It is a delicate balance where owners need to evaluate risk vs. reward.
I’m rolling with half my original lineup. Logano was strong with this particular race bundle — top-two finishes at both Las Vegas and Fontana. Blaney had a strong 10-lap average, he’s a hot series with three top-five finishes in a row and has three straight top-six finishes in the repaved Texas track. Though he qualified 30th, I’m sticking with Kurt Busch but putting him in my own garage. I like his current Texas results a whole lot — four straight top 10s, such as where I am on his use and I like his results using this bundle. He qualified 25th or worse at Las Vegas and Fontana but scored just two top-six endings and an average of 33.0 points in these races. An additional benefit of rostering Kurt: He’s not a particular popular drama now based on possession.
The additions to my lineup begin with the pole sitter Jimmie Johnson. Can I feel comfortable with this? Not entirely based upon the 2019 body of work thus far, however I have not used him yet, I guess he ought to be in a position to get some point points and he has been fast all weekend emphasized by his own topping the 10-lap plank in closing practice. I placing Keselowski into my lineup like I move all on Penske without a surprise of a single Steve Letarte (why assess one when you can check all three). He’d the fourth-best 10-lap average in final clinic and , Penske has this bundle dialed in
Which explains the reason I am quite bullish on this group.
My Final spot was between Elliott, Kyle Larson, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin. Larson has the worst starting spot of the four but had the very best 10-lap average along with a powerful 15-lap average too (h/t @MikeJoy500). Suarez qualified well, but I feel like I am taking a risk with”Seven-Time.” Hamlin has been better than all four using this package, but he’s entire Texas body of work is not great, so that leaves me with Elliott. I enjoy the beginning spot and the history he has had at Texas — a pretty constant top-10 automobile here, so he gets the nod.
Because I am all in on Penske, I’ll Be maintaining the 2018 Big 3 trio of Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. on the sidelines as a tradeoff. Don’t want to be stuck playing one of those big boys if they are having only an ordinary day. Busch is so good at Bristol and Richmond that he will be in my lineup in the coming months, so I think we have not seen the 4 group’s best yet and Truex has many good tracks coming up in another month — Richmond, Dover and Kansas.
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