Fantasy Update: Last-minute lineup, props advice for Texas
Hendrick Motorsports’ Jimmie Johnson will start from the pole position for Sunday’s O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 (3 p.m. ET on FOX, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
Does the seven-time winner merit a place on your lineup? We have dissected the amounts to offer you a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live thought as you make roster decisions.
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Remember that the garage locks in the end of Stage 2. After the final stage begins, your roster is secured in.
RJ Kraft’s Fantasy Live lineup for race day at Texas:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Joey Logano
3. Ryan Blaney
4. Brad Keselowski
5. Chase Elliott
Toilet: Kurt Busch
Going to the rear: Alex Bowman (backup car), Ryan Newman (neglected pre-race inspection twice)
RELATED: Odds for Texas | 10-lap averages from Texas | Podcast: Fantasy Fastlane
Analysis: The prosperity of big names beginning out of the top 10 on Sunday makes this a little more complicated than previous weeks. Can you risk the use? Who’s worth saving? It is a delicate balance where owners need to evaluate risk .
I am rolling with half my first lineup. Logano has been strong with this race package — top-two finishes in Las Vegas and Fontana. Blaney had a solid 10-lap average, he’s a hot series with three top-five finishes in a row and has three straight top-six finishes in the repaved Texas track. Even though he qualified 30th, I’m sticking with Kurt Busch but putting him in my own garage. I like his current Texas outcomes a whole lot — four straight top 10s, such as where I am on his use and I like his results using this bundle. He qualified 25th or worse at Las Vegas and Fontana but scored just two top-six endings along with an average of 33.0 points in these races. An additional benefit of rostering Kurt: He’s not a distinct popular play right now based on possession.
The developments to my lineup begin with the pole sitter Jimmie Johnson. Do I feel comfortable with this? Not entirely based on the 2019 body of work thus far, however I have not used him yet, I figure he should be in a position to receive some stage points and he has been fast all weekend emphasized by his own topping the 10-lap board in final practice. I placing Keselowski in my lineup like I move all in on Penske to no real surprise of one Steve Letarte (why assess one when you are able to check all three). He had the fourth-best 10-lap typical in final clinic and , Penske has this bundle dialed in
Which is the reason I am so bullish on this group.
My last place was between Elliott, Kyle Larson, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin. Larson has the worst beginning location of the four but had the best 10-lap average and a strong 15-lap average too (h/t @MikeJoy500). Suarez qualified nicely, but I already feel like I am taking a risk with”Seven-Time.” Hamlin is better than all four using this bundle, but he’s overall Texas body of work isn’t great, so that leaves me with Elliott. I like the starting spot and the history he has had at Texas — a pretty constant top-10 automobile here, so he gets the nod.
Since I am all in on Penske, I’ll Be keeping the 2018 Large 3 trio of Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. on the sidelines as a tradeoff. Don’t need to get stuck playing one of those boys if they’re having just an ordinary day. Busch is so good at Bristol and Richmond that he will maintain my lineup in the coming weeks, I think we haven’t seen the 4 team’s best yet and Truex has several very good tracks coming up in the next month — Richmond, Dover and Kansas.
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